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 Introduction to Social Macrodynamics A way to approach human society as an extremely complex system is to recognize differences of abstraction and time scale between different levels.
Наименование:

Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa

автор Korotayev A. издательство КОМКНИГА Основы социологии
Cтраниц 160        мягкая обложка       
Аннотация:A way to approach human society as an extremely complex system is to recognize differences of abstraction and time scale between different levels. Human society is a complex nonequilibrium system that changes and develops constantly. In this book the authors analyze the interplay of trend and cyclical dynamics in Egypt and Subsaharan Africa. It is shown that the structure of millennial trends cannot be adequately understood without secular cycles being taken into consideration. The view that any simple general laws are not observed at all with respect to social evolution has become totally dominant within the academic community, especially among those who specialize in the Humanities and who confront directly in their research the manifold unpredictability of social processes. It is shown that they can be described mathematically in a rather accurate way with rather simple models. The first book of the Introduction (Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS, 2006) discusses general regularities of the World System long-term development. In the second book (Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends. Moscow: URSS, 2006) the authors analyze more complex regularities of its dynamics on shorter scales, as well as dynamics of its constituent parts paying special attention to "secular" cyclical dynamics. If the main task of scientific analysis is to detect the main forces acting on systems so as to discover fundamental laws at a sufficiently coarse scale, then abstracting from details and deviations from general rules may help to identify measurable deviations from these laws in finer detail and shorter time scales. In turn, for an adequate understanding of cyclical dynamics the millennial trend background should be taken into account. Complexity, multivariability, and contradictions of social evolution lead researchers to a logical conclusion that any simplification, reduction, or neglect of the multiplicity of factors leads inevitably to the multiplication of error and to significant misunderstanding of the processes under study. Modern achievements in the field of mathematical modeling suggest that social evolution can be described with rigorous and sufficiently simple macrolaws.
Автор: Korotayev A.
Издательство: КОМКНИГА
Год:2006
Цена:
713 руб
Нет в наличии
Поиск: Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa
НОВЫЙ ГОД СИМВОЛ 2013 ГОДАУКРАШЕНИЯ
КАРНАВАЛ НА НОВЫЙ ГОД РАСПРОДАЖА
Ортомолекулярная медицина Orthomol Устрание причин заболеваний. Ортомоль это новый метод для лечения и профилактики болезней. Orthomol - ортомолекулярная медицина.
Социальное объявление развития english

Bu i s ill remai s jus a philosophical u opia for he larges par of he popula io over he world. he heore ical co s ruc io s co i ue o be crea ed a he correspo di g levels of abs rac io upo he a alysis of objec s of various scales. I is ecessary o remove he co radic io be wee he forms of developme o he basis of he formula ed u iversal laws a d all he varie y of achieveme s of a ural scie ces. he ques io is he social scie ce s rivi g o become a exac scie ce orma ive for he poli ical sphere, especially i he co ex of social e gi eeri g. he solu io of his mai ask should promo e he a ai me of he mai objec ive of his research – crea io of a u iversal a d, a he same ime, applied model of epochal his orical cycle as he u i of a alysis a d he mea s of prog os ics a he level of he specific cou ries, regio s, a d civiliza io s. he research has a polydiscipli ary charac er, which is rela ed o he developme of he mai co cep of cyclici y of social developme i he his orical co ex . he expec ed resul s, which are of hypo he ical charac er prior o a receip of empiric da a, may become a subjec for fur her specific researches i he sphere of he sociology of his ory, social philosophy, poli ology, psychology, righ , geopolicy, philology, e c. hus, he co emporary macrosocial si ua io a d he co di io of heore ical developme s s imula e he forma io of a ew research paradigm of he social scie ce o he basis of i egral socie al i dices.
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