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 The Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the NAIRU over Time. An Empirical Study for the US, the UK, Italy and Spain
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The Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the NAIRU over Time. An Empirical Study for the US, the UK, Italy and Spain

автор Lena V. издательство Книга по Требованию Экономическая теория
Cтраниц 64        мягкая обложка       
Аннотация:Moreover, households’ inflation expectations are measured directly from consumer surveys by the University of Michigan and the European Commission and are not instrumented for. New Keynesian models of the Phillips Curve generally assume a short run trade-off between inflation and a measure of excess demand due to nominal rigidities, while in the long run inflation is constant at the ' Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment' (NAIRU). By contrast, models such as the ‘Triangle Model’ of inflation explicitly allow for a time-varying NAIRU. Our model is estimated for the US, the UK, Italy and Spain and finds considerable variation in the short-run NAIRU over time with NAIRU estimates significantly different from HP-filter derived measures such as usually employed in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. Furthermore, we compare stationary and nonstationary NAIRUs, as well as short- and long-run NAIRUs and find that results are generally robust across specifications. We combine both approaches and estimate state-space models of the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve, allowing the short-run NAIRU to vary over time.
Автор: Lena V.
Издательство: Книга по Требованию
Год:2009
Цена:
2007 руб
Нет в наличии
Поиск: The Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the NAIRU over Time. An Empirical Study for the US, the UK, Italy and Spain
НОВЫЙ ГОД СИМВОЛ 2013 ГОДАУКРАШЕНИЯ
КАРНАВАЛ НА НОВЫЙ ГОД РАСПРОДАЖА
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В соответствии с этой теорией кривая Филлипса в долгосрочном периоде является вертикальной. Когда естественный и фактический уровень безработицы совпадают, рынок рабочей силы приходит в равновесие, а фактический уровень роста цен, или инфляции, равен прогнозируемому уровню (рис. 9). Рисунок 9 (Досрочная кривая Филлипса) Для упрощения ситуации представим краткосрочную кривую Филлипса (SlJhC) в виде пунктирной прямой с отрицательным наклоном. На долгосрочном интервале кривая Филлипса принимает вертикальное положение (долгосрочная кривая Филлипса ДКФ / LPhC lo g- erm Phillips curve). На графике она представляется как сплошная вертикальная прямая, указывая на уровень полной занятости (U ). Анализ долгосрочной кривой Филлипса основан на учете инфляционных ожиданий хозяйствующих субъектов. Он проводится в рамках двух теорий: адаптивных и рациональных ожиданий. В этих теориях рассматривается влияние инфляционных ожиданий на совокупное предложение при достижении полной занятости, или естественного уровня безработицы (то есть при отсутствии циклической безработицы).
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