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 RELATIONSHIP OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND STOCK PRICES. An investigation into the relationship of macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Pakistan
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RELATIONSHIP OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND STOCK PRICES. An investigation into the relationship of macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Pakistan

автор Muhammad A. издательство Книга по Требованию Экономическая теория
Cтраниц 96        мягкая обложка       
Аннотация:The study investigates macroeconomic variables namely consumer price index(CPI), money supply (M2), industrial production (IP), level of interest rates measured as 6 month's T-bill rate (MTB) and exchange rate (ER) as independent variables and stock prices (KSE100) as dependent variable for the estimation and testing of the multifactor model (using monthly observations from July 1996 to June 2006). The results from the multifactor model were insignificant. The bivariate version of the Johansen's cointegration test suggested the existence of cointegration only for industrial production (IP) and stock prices (KSE100) and inflation (CPI) and stock prices (KSE100). However, the multivariate version of the Johansen's cointegration test confirmed that the variables were jointly cointegrated. The results from the VECM failed to negate the EMH for the KSE except for the lagged difference value of interest rate (MTB). Further it revealed that all macroeconomic variables other than interest rate (MTB) participate in the adjustment process to reestablish equilibrium relationship. However, stock prices (KSE100) do not participate in the adjustment process.
Автор: Muhammad A.
Издательство: Книга по Требованию
Год:2010
Цена:
2007 руб
Нет в наличии
Поиск: RELATIONSHIP OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND STOCK PRICES. An investigation into the relationship of macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Pakistan



Макроэкономические проблемы и показатели. Совокупный спрос и совокупное...

Уровень цен и его измерение В рыночной экономике значение цен трудно переоценить. Рыночный хозяйственный механизм - это механизм распределения ресурсов через колебания цен. Объёмы всех товаров и услуг измеряются в ценах. Определение уровня цен в экономике поэтому имеет особое значение. Изменения уровня цен необходимо знать в частности и потому, что при определении масштабов ВВП в данном году мы должны знать не только номинальный объём ВВП, но и реальный объём ВВП. При определении темпов инфляции также необходимо измерять уровень цен и сравнивать их по периодам. В макроэкономическом анализе используются разнообразные показатели уровня цен в экономике, важнейшими из которых являются следующие: индекс цен потребительских товаров (CPI, Co sumer Price I dex) индекс цен производителей (PPI, Producer Price I dex), дефлятор ВВП (GDP defla or). Индекс цен - это отношение совокупности цен определённого набора товаров и услуг в данном периоде к совокупности цен сходного набора товаров и услуг в базовом периоде, умноженное на 100. стоимость рыночного набора в текущем году Индекс цен = х 100 стоимость рыночного набора в базисном году Рассчитаем, например, индекс цен для потребительского набора, состоящего из двух товаров, - 1 кг яблок и 3 мужских рубашки.
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